ar
With a new trading week comes new opportunities. So, we’ve gathered insights for the week ahead that highlight the current trends, scheduled events and potential movers to watch. Let’s get started.
Calendar Events
UK Unemployment Rate – October 14
UK Claimant Count Change – October 14
UK Average Hourly Earnings – October 14
UK Employment Change – October 14
Fed Chair Powell Speaks – October 14
US CPI (Tentative) – October 15
UK GDP – October 16
US PPI (Tentative) – October 16
US Retail Sales – October 16
Eurozone CPI – October 17
US Average Hourly Earnings (Tentative) – October 17
US Non-Farm Payrolls (Tentative) – October 17
US Unemployment Rate (Tentative) – October 17
Top Things to Watch
Uncertain Timeline Looms for Labor & Inflation Data Releases
If the U.S. government reopens, September’s labor report could be released Friday potentially the most volatile day of the week, with NFP expected to rise by 52,000 and unemployment holding at 4.3%. CPI and PPI inflation data may also be released midweek, with CPI on Wednesday and PPI on Thursday.
US–China Trade Tensions Flare Again
Trade tensions have reignited as the US and China imposed new tariffs, sparking a dispute over rare earth exports. Trump’s latest tariffs wiped out $2 trillion from global markets and cast doubt over his upcoming meeting with Xi Jinping, adding more uncertainty to global trade.
Q3 Earnings Season Kicks Off
The Q3 earnings season is officially underway, with major U.S. banks leading the lineup. JP Morgan Chase, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, and Bank of America will be the first to report their results. These reports will offer key insights into the health of the financial sector and the broader economy. Investors will be watching closely for signs of lending demand, margin pressures, and how recent interest rate cuts have impacted profitability.
Trending Now: GBP/JPY
Source: Acuity
Source: TradingView
Why It’s Trending?
GBP/JPY remains driven by diverging central bank outlooks and rising political uncertainty. The Bank of England is maintaining a cautious stance as inflation proves stubborn, suggesting rate cuts will be slower than previously expected — supporting the pound. In contrast, the Bank of Japan continues to keep monetary policy unchanged, with limited signs of further tightening despite occasional verbal interventions to curb yen weakness.
On the political front, UK fiscal policies and leadership signals following potential cabinet reshuffles could influence investor confidence, while Japan’s political stability offers little new momentum. Overall, monetary policy divergence and shifting UK political sentiment remain the key fundamental forces behind GBP/JPY’s direction.
